Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.275434 0.315874 0.359232 0.409062 0.464633 0.524582 0.594025
2026-01-25 0.211355 0.266380 0.330039 0.408646 0.502583 0.610696 0.743959
2026-02-01 0.165129 0.227773 0.305632 0.408328 0.538896 0.697939 0.904719
2026-02-08 0.130599 0.196532 0.284259 0.407281 0.572753 0.784751 1.073541
2026-02-15 0.103543 0.169603 0.263441 0.402825 0.600273 0.865041 1.240982
2026-02-22 0.086319 0.153011 0.253612 0.410985 0.644356 0.969950 1.448976
2026-03-01 0.070044 0.134427 0.237508 0.407098 0.669841 1.050369 1.629034
2026-03-08 0.058229 0.120569 0.226148 0.408147 0.701589 1.141089 1.829348
2026-03-15 0.047549 0.106335 0.211654 0.401728 0.720255 1.212880 2.006059
2026-03-22 0.042160 0.100766 0.210919 0.417517 0.774979 1.342522 2.277128
2026-03-29 0.037538 0.095699 0.210155 0.432779 0.829635 1.475198 2.560457
2026-04-05 0.032235 0.088003 0.203166 0.435746 0.863180 1.575762 2.798760
2026-04-12 0.027403 0.080349 0.195242 0.436304 0.893071 1.673338 3.040120
2026-04-19 0.023133 0.072968 0.186657 0.434414 0.918167 1.764355 3.276112
2026-04-26 0.019605 0.066518 0.178950 0.433164 0.944027 1.858015 3.521570
2026-05-03 0.016615 0.060671 0.171556 0.431487 0.968620 1.950636 3.770013
2026-05-10 0.013914 0.054840 0.163144 0.426446 0.985914 2.030916 4.001059
2026-05-17 0.012303 0.051821 0.161005 0.434778 1.030255 2.162541 4.328293
2026-05-24 0.010362 0.047118 0.153754 0.430555 1.048434 2.246616 4.574914
2026-05-31 0.008922 0.043630 0.149041 0.431563 1.077357 2.352216 4.865132
2026-06-07 0.007436 0.039414 0.141515 0.424774 1.088872 2.424885 5.098263
2026-06-14 0.006858 0.038533 0.143344 0.441289 1.152310 2.601642 5.532106
2026-06-21 0.006314 0.037613 0.144902 0.457257 1.215637 2.781296 5.978891